Forrester renamed this category in 2025, from Human Capital Management to Human Capital Management Solutions, and the first scorecard under the longer name is organized around a number: nearly eighty percent of the global workforce is frontline. The newest edition of this market, The Forrester Wave: Human Capital Management Solutions, Q4 2025, grades vendors on how well they serve the deskless majority.
The report under the longer name: The Forrester Wave: Human Capital Management Solutions, Q4 2025
Senior analyst Akshara Naik Lopez announced the evaluation on October 21, 2025, and the blog's thesis is the report's thesis: "What was once a back-office system of record is now evolving into a strategic, intelligent platform that powers workforce productivity and organizational health."
The Wave scores twelve of the most significant HCM vendors across current offering, strategy, and customer feedback, with customer feedback gathered through reference interviews, not surveys alone.
The shift is not a tagline, Naik Lopez writes. It is "a fundamental redefinition of value," and the criteria show it: frontline-specific workforce management for healthcare, retail, manufacturing, logistics, hospitality, aviation, and public safety, agentic AI judged on whether it is enterprise-ready, and scope expansion into spend management, identity, and IT asset management.
Three Leaders, three answers to the frontline question
ADP took a Leader placement with the highest possible scores in seventeen criteria. The citation names the assets: next-generation AI through ADP Assist, payroll depth, compliance leadership, transparent pricing with AI included at no extra cost, the ADP Marketplace, and benchmarking data that comes from running payroll for an enormous share of the market.
UKG took the highest Current Offering score, positioned as a "top choice for frontline-heavy organizations." Its citation runs on best-in-class workforce management, industry-focused solutions, core HR, payroll, talent, and strong contingent labor management.
Oracle took the third confirmed Leader placement, called "the most innovative vendor in the HCM market," with agentic AI embedded throughout its applications, a unified global platform, and global-first payroll.
Three Leaders, three answers to the same question. ADP answers with payroll scale and benchmarking. UKG answers with the frontline itself. Oracle answers with the agentic layer. The question the market asked stopped being "who records the workforce" and became "who unlocks it."
The strong performers who won the criteria that matter
Darwinbox announced a Strong Performer placement with 5 of 5 scores in the criteria that describe the new market: traditional, ML, generative, and agentic AI, reporting and analytics, platform maturity, digital HR marketplaces, HR service delivery, contingent labor management, frontline worker flexibility, UX, and security, governance, and compliance.
isolved announced a Strong Performer placement of its own.
The middle band of this scorecard is where the shift is most visible. A vendor can sit below the Leaders and still hold perfect scores in every criterion the market's future is made of. The tier column measures the whole platform. The criteria columns measure the direction, and the direction is agentic, frontline, marketplace, and governed. That is the section of the scorecard worth reading criterion by criterion, because the middle band is where the next Leader usually comes from.
The scope that stopped being HR
The report's trend list reads like an org chart redrawn. HCM platforms are extending into spend management, identity and access management, and IT asset management. HR is becoming fintech: earned wage access, financial coaching, real-time payroll, and automated income and employment verification. Strategic workforce planning now integrates workforce data with financial forecasting, modeling total labor spend across full-time, contingent, and gig workers. Mature vendors are building low-code marketplaces where third parties sell vertical solutions.
The connective-tissue word Naik Lopez uses is the diagnosis. HCM is becoming "the connective tissue" across enterprise systems, and the scorecard grades vendors on how much of the organization runs through them. The system of record is dead. The platform that touches payroll, spend, identity, and devices is what gets scored now.
The implication for procurement is uncomfortable and useful. If HCM is the connective tissue, then the HCM decision is partly an IT-architecture decision, and the stakeholders around the table just doubled. Finance owns the workforce planning model. Security owns the identity boundary. The vendor that wins the HCM shortlist now has to survive reviews its predecessor never faced.
What the public record keeps quiet
Five of twelve placements have surfaced publicly, and the silence has structure. No announcements from the incumbent giants beyond the three Leaders, and no full tier table in the open record. This article names what is confirmed and nothing beyond it.
The report also says only a couple of vendors have enterprise-ready agentic AI with the full governance, security, risk, and cost frameworks. That sentence is the buying caveat hiding inside the marketing: most of the field is selling agentic roadmaps, and the scorecard can tell the difference even when the public record cannot.
Three questions for the engagement scorecard
What is your frontline mix, and which Leader is built for it? If your workforce is deskless-heavy, the UKG citation matters more than the ADP benchmarking. If it is desk-heavy and global, Oracle's agentic layer may matter more than either. Match the workforce before the tier.
Is the agentic AI enterprise-ready or a roadmap? Only a couple of vendors cleared the bar with governance, security, and cost frameworks. Ask each vendor to show the governance framework for its agents in your environment, and treat a roadmap answer as a no.
What does the marketplace actually contain? The report rewards low-code ecosystems. Ask for the catalog of vertical solutions your industry would use, with customer counts, not partner counts.
Analyst Source
Forrester Research
Category definition, vendor inclusion, and evaluation findings in this article draw on The Forrester Wave: Human Capital Management Solutions, Q4 2025, announced by senior analyst Akshara Naik Lopez on October 21, 2025. The Wave scores 12 HCM vendors on current offering, strategy, and customer feedback. Confirmed placements are ADP, UKG, and Oracle as Leaders, and Darwinbox and isolved as Strong Performers. The category was renamed from Human Capital Management, whose final Q2 2023 Wave, scoring 11 vendors against 28 criteria, is covered in a separate article under that name. The report frames a shift from system of record to system of engagement and intelligence, with nearly 80 percent of the global workforce classified as frontline.
Source research
- The Forrester Wave: Human Capital Management Solutions, Q4 2025 (RES186656), Forrester
- Introducing The Forrester Wave: Human Capital Management Solutions, Q4 2025, Forrester blog, October 21, 2025
- ADP Workforce Now Named a Leader in Human Capital Management 2025 Evaluation, ADP
- UKG Named a Leader with Highest Current Offering Category Score, October 15, 2025
- Oracle Named a Leader in The Forrester Wave: HCM Solutions, Oracle
- Darwinbox Named a Strong Performer in Forrester Wave HCM 2025, Darwinbox
- The Forrester Wave Report: Human Capital Management Solutions, Q4 2025, isolved
Forrester does not endorse any vendor named here, and tier placement should not be read as a recommendation to buy.
This pairs closely with End-User Experience Management Solutions, where forrester renamed this twenty year old category in February 2026, and its last edition under the old name already showed the market rotating from who fixes an endpoint fastest to who turns the endpoint into a decision surface.
The neighboring coverage here is Internal Talent Marketplaces. Gartner predicted 30 percent of large enterprises would deploy an internal talent marketplace by 2025, on the theory that the next best hire probably already works there, if only a manager would let them go.
The related category on this site is Workforce Management (WFM) Technology. Gartner is renaming this market from Workforce Management Applications to WFM Technology to admit it grew past the call center, but the only active scorecard, the Workforce Engagement Management quadrant, still only covers the contact-center half.